Tagged: TLT

Bonds 2


I’m back home from overseas, though a bit tired after running the gauntlet of cattle pens and inquisitors that has ruined the air travel experience. It’ll never be like this again: – Here’s a...

VIX cycles 0

VIX cycles

No strong conclusions here, just some food for thought: c Prophet.net You can also see a possible 30-day pattern: 30 days down, then a ramp. Let’s put this in perspective. Here’s a 5-year weekly...

Yen and bonds, two of a kind 0

Yen and bonds, two of a kind

I don’t know exactly what to make of this pattern, but it is not unusual to see these two move together. As forms of cash, they each tend to do well when the deflation...

Shorting T-bonds 0

Shorting T-bonds

This is a quicky trade — I’m looking for a decline of a few percent at most. I’m still a bond bull for 2010. I use futures, but TLT charts the same: Source: Prophet.net...

Another good week for bond spreads 1

Another good week for bond spreads

Bonds are a key indicator of the health of the risk trade. So long as treasuries are shunned and junk is bid, it is likely that stocks and the commodity complex hold up. This...

Spread ‘em 0

Spread ‘em

The widener play from last week has worked well so far. TLT (20-30 year treasury bond ETF) vs. JNK (junk bond ETF): Source: yahoo! finance – 10-year notes are also doing well (IEF, the...

Long TLT, short JNK 8

Long TLT, short JNK

Everyone loves junk bonds and hates Treasury bonds. That’s an opportunity: Source: Yahoo Finance – Hat tip to EWI’s Financial Forecast (just released) for reminding me to check on this chart.